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No. 013 · Derivatives & contracts

Contracts for difference

A bilateral bet on a price move with your broker, leveraged, financed daily, and losing money for the substantial majority of the people who use it.

Symbol CFD Open to retail FCA-regulated activity Derivative High risk Leveraged OTC Retail

Market fingerprint

How Contracts for difference measures up

63 /100 Extreme

Easy to open, expensive to hold, leveraged by design — the shape behind the 65–80% of retail accounts that lose money.

EXIT2/5SWING5/5LEVERAGE5/5CARRY5/5FRAUD4/5NO RECOURSE3/5BARRIER1/5EXPERTISE3/5
← who you deal withhow it behaves →
  1. Exit difficulty 2/5 Sold in seconds at a quoted price
  2. Volatility 5/5 Can halve or double in months
  3. Leverage 5/5 Leverage is the product
  4. Carry cost 5/5 Holding it erodes it
  5. Fraud risk 4/5 Endemic
  6. Protection gap 3/5 If it goes wrong, how little recourse do you have?
  7. Barrier to entry 1/5 Anyone, with a few pounds
  8. Expertise needed 3/5 How much specialist knowledge do you need not to be fleeced?

The fingerprint measures how demanding a market is to take part in. It is not a rating, and a small shape is not a recommendation. How it is scored.

What it is, precisely

A contract for difference is an agreement between you and a broker to exchange the difference in an asset's price between opening and closing the contract. You never own the asset. There is no exchange and no clearing house — your counterparty is the broker.

It was invented in London in the 1990s as a way for institutions to get leveraged exposure without paying stamp duty, then marketed heavily to individuals.

The three costs

1. The spread — you buy at the offer and sell at the bid, paying the difference immediately on every trade.

2. Overnight financing — because the position is leveraged, you are effectively borrowing. A charge, typically a benchmark rate plus a margin of 2–3%, is applied every night a long position is held. Over months this quietly dominates the outcome.

3. Commission on share CFDs, in addition to the spread.

A position that goes nowhere for six months loses money. This is structural, not bad luck.

The disclosure that says everything

UK-authorised CFD providers must display the percentage of retail investor accounts that lose money. Those figures are published on every provider's website and sit consistently between roughly 65% and 80%.

That is the industry's own regulated disclosure about its own customers. It is worth reading it as the primary fact about the product rather than as a footnote to the marketing.

The protections that do exist

After FCA and ESMA intervention in 2018–19, UK retail clients get: leverage capped at 30:1 on major FX and lower on other assets, margin close-out at 50% of required margin, negative balance protection so you cannot owe the broker more than your account, a ban on bonus incentives, and mandatory risk warnings. Crypto CFDs are banned outright for retail.

These are real and meaningful improvements. They reduce the tail risk; they do not change the arithmetic of spread plus financing against a near-zero-sum bet.

How you would actually trade it

If you use CFDs, use an FCA-authorised firm — verify the registration number on the FCA register yourself, since clone firms using real firms' details are a persistent fraud.

Understand the overnight financing rate before holding anything for more than a few days, and size positions on the exposure, not on the margin. A £500 margin deposit controlling £15,000 of exposure is a £15,000 position.

For most people with an investment objective rather than a trading objective, buying the underlying asset inside an ISA achieves the goal without the financing drag or the leverage.

What goes wrong

  • 65–80% of retail accounts lose money, per the providers' own required disclosures.
  • Leverage magnifies losses at the same rate as gains, and the account close-out can crystallise a loss just before a recovery.
  • Financing costs make long holding periods structurally unprofitable.
  • Counterparty risk. You are exposed to the broker; segregation and FSCS coverage apply to authorised firms but administration is still disruptive.
  • Clone firm fraud is common in this sector specifically.
  • No shareholder rights — no dividends as such, no votes, no ownership.

This entry describes how a market works. It is not a recommendation, a price forecast, or advice about whether this belongs anywhere near your money. How entries are written.