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Put up to four markets on the same ruler. The shapes do most of the explaining.

Market 1 Market 2 Market 3 Market 4

Event tickets 38 Moderate Perishable to the minute, cheap to enter and heavy with fraud — a short-dated option you can hold in your hand.
Prediction markets 44 Demanding Cheap to try and binary to lose, sitting in the regulatory gap between gambling and finance.

	Event tickets	Prediction markets
Exit difficulty	2	4
Volatility	5	5
Leverage	1	1
Carry cost	1	1
Fraud risk	5	4
Protection gap	3	3
Barrier to entry	1	1
Expertise needed	2	3
Difficulty	38 Moderate	44 Demanding
In a sentence	A time-stamped licence to occupy a seat, resold in a market where the UK has taken an unusually interventionist turn.	Contracts that settle at one or zero depending on whether something happens, turning a probability into a price — and sitting awkwardly between trading and gambling.
Unit	One ticket	One contract, settling at 100 or 0
Smallest realistic trade	One ticket	A single contract, often pennies
Settlement	Immediate digital transfer, or via a platform’s protection scheme	Cash on resolution of the event

The fingerprint measures how demanding a market is to take part in. It is not a rating or a recommendation.